TRP - 지구온난화, 신재생에너지, 전기자동차, 자율주행, 인공지능 등 4차산업혁명에 대한 생각정리 (0)
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전체적으로 하나로 연결이 되고, 각각이 꽤 크고 복잡한 문제이고, 그 전체에 대한 개략적인 이해가 되어야...
그 전체에 대한 선택에 대해서 자신의 의견을 합리적으로 내세울 수 있는 문제의 한가지 예에 대해서
한번 이야기를 시작해 볼까 한다.
이렇게 크고 복잡한 문제는... 사실 한번에 이해하거나, 이야기를 끝내는 것이 거의 불가능하므로...
문제를 몇가지 단계로 나눠서, 각각의 단계를 하나씩 개괄적으로나마 이해해보고, 중간 결론을 내보려고 한다.
그리고, 그 각각의 단계에서 우리가 큰 오류를 범하지 않았다면, 그 단계들의 끝의 결론은 아마도 맞을 것이다.
그리고 그 각각의 단계에 있어서... 모든 문제를 직접 푸는 것이 아니라,
검색이라는 범용 도구를 활용하여, 이미 많은 동료 인간들이 풀어놓은 답/지식을 가져다 쓸 것이다.
자... 그럼... 한번 이 문제를 풀어보자.
풀 수 있겠지?
우리에겐 구글신이 있으니까...
아마도 풀 수 있을거야...
2020.06.06.
2020.06.21.
GL @ TRP
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* 글 (읽고/생각정리하고/쓰고) 구상
0. 읽을꺼리
1. Intro/개괄
2. 지구온난화 - 기후변화 이론/실험 맞아?
3. 신재생에너지 - 탈탄소/탈원전 가능해?
4. 전기자동차 - 왜 '전기자동차'이어야만 해?
5. 자율주행 - 왜 자율주행? 가능해? 언제쯤?
6. 인공지능 - 왜 인공지능? 가능해? 언제쯤?
7. Outro/결론
8. To-Do: 개인/가족 - 무엇을 하고 싶고, 할 수 있고, 해야하나?
9. To-Do: 회사/국가 - 무엇을 하고 싶고, 할 수 있고, 해야하나?
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0. 읽을꺼리
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산업혁명과 기술발전에 대해
History of technology
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_technology
Industrial Revolution
Industrial Revolution
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Industrial_Revolution
www.google.com/search?q=industrial+revolution
Second Industrial Revolution
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Industrial_Revolution
https://www.google.com/search?q=2nd+industrial+revolution
The Third Industrial Revolution
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Industrial_Revolution
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Digital_Revolution
https://www.google.com/search?q=3rd+industrial+revolution
The Fourth Industrial Revolution
https://www.weforum.org/focus/fourth-industrial-revolution
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_revolution
https://www.google.com/search?q=4th+industrial+revolution
What is the Fourth Industrial Revolution? | CNBC Explains
396,889 views•Jan 23, 2019
CNBC International (827K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9rZOa3CUC8
What is the Fourth Industrial Revolution?
893,508 views•Jul 18, 2016
World Economic Forum (483K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpW9JcWxKq0
Industry 4.0 in the Volkswagen Group
383,435 views•Aug 20, 2015
Volkswagen Group (40.7K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTl8w6yAjds
EN | Future production with Industry 4.0
86,254 views•Jun 29, 2016
Bosch Global (39.5K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISk64bJ35yM
Tesla Factory Tour with Elon Musk!
9,270,659 views•Aug 21, 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mr9kK0_7x08
Take a tour inside Tesla’s first Gigafactory | CNBC Reports
1,447,160 views•May 3, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vv1mFAMz0PE
What Happened To Tesla's Solar Roof Tiles?
4,494,346 views•Sep 25, 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ABR4KgXoZPE
Which Automakers Can Seriously Challenge Tesla?
1,475,137 views•Feb 16, 2020
CNBC (1.66M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rk5LdBbneZQ
Electric cars vs Petrol cars
3,439,245 views•Aug 1, 2017
Learn Engineering (3.48M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ewcWN-rHQ6Q
The future of the car industry | The Economist
166,946 views•May 31, 2016
The Economist (1.45M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e2rBzJXLem8
Which trends will affect our lives in the future | The Economist
125,561 views•Dec 14, 2015
The Economist (1.45M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8wx3YxFYWtM
Petroleum - summary of the modern history of oil
2,472,030 views•Mar 3, 2019
Geo History (330K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xMQUGSrnbP8
History of nuclear power
763,055 views•Jan 2, 2020
Geo History (330K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGTEDH0SIdA
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물질, 에너지, 기술에 대해
TRP - 물질, 에너지, 기술 그리고 공자의 "인자요산 지자요수"에 대해
TRP - Matter, Energy, Technology and Confucius' Ideals & Insights
https://mytrps.tistory.com/entry/TRP-Matter-Energy-Technology-and-Confucius
TRL - 물질 matter/material, 에너지 energy, 기술 technology
TRL - 학문
https://trls.tistory.com/search/TRL%20-%20%ED%95%99%EB%AC%B8
TRL - 과학
https://trls.tistory.com/search/TRL%20-%20%EA%B3%BC%ED%95%99
TRL - 기술
https://trls.tistory.com/search/TRL%20-%20%EA%B8%B0%EC%88%A0
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여러 학문/과학/공학과 인공지능에 대해
TRL - 학문: 철학, 수학, 과학 (물리학, 화학, 생물학 등), 공학 (기계공학, 전자공학, 컴퓨터공학 등) 지도 동영상
https://trls.tistory.com/129
AlphaGo - The Movie | Full Documentary
조회수 1,832,815회•2020. 3. 13.
DeepMind (구독자 22만명)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WXuK6gekU1Y
David Silver: AlphaGo, AlphaZero, and Deep Reinforcement Learning | AI Podcast #86 with Lex Fridman
조회수 108,814회•2020. 4. 4.
Lex Fridman (구독자 40.3만명)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPUEq8d73JI
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지구온난화, 기후변화에 대해
TRL - 과학: 나무가 물을 빨아올리는 방법/원리, 지구온난화/기후변화, 베이즈 정리 (YouTuber Veritasium)
How Trees Bend the Laws of Physics
조회수 3,102,408회•2012. 10. 30.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BickMFHAZR0
Climate Change is Boring
조회수 800,084회•2014. 8. 30.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNx9tvCrvv8
13 Misconceptions About Global Warming
조회수 3,740,526회•2014. 9. 23.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OWXoRSIxyIU
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한 인물에 대해
TRL - 인물: 일론 머스크 Elon Musk (1971 - )
https://trls.tistory.com/120
Elon Musk: Tesla Autopilot | Artificial Intelligence (AI) Podcast
조회수 1,072,330회•2019. 4. 13.
Lex Fridman (구독자 40.3만명)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dEv99vxKjVI
Elon Musk: Neuralink, AI, Autopilot, and the Pale Blue Dot | Artificial Intelligence (AI) Podcast
조회수 819,499회•2019. 11. 13.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smK9dgdTl40
First Principles Explained by Elon Musk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NV3sBlRgzTI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hHyu8Jt226M
Elon Musk first principle reasoning TED
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JQXoSmC1rs
First Principles Thinking - The Physics Approach - Elon Musk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4NUXLZXohQ
Elon Musk's Basic Economics
5,238,969 views•Oct 24, 2017
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h97fXhDN5qE
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한 블로그에 대해
Tim Urban @ Wait But Why
https://twitter.com/waitbutwhy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wait_But_Why
https://www.google.com/search?q=wait+but+why
The Story of Us: Full Series
https://waitbutwhy.com/2019/08/story-of-us.html
Elon Musk: The World’s Raddest Man
May 7, 2015 By Tim Urban
https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/05/elon-musk-the-worlds-raddest-man.html
How Tesla Will Change The World
June 2, 2015 By Tim Urban
https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/06/how-tesla-will-change-your-life.html
How (and Why) SpaceX Will Colonize Mars
August 16, 2015 By Tim Urban
https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/08/how-and-why-spacex-will-colonize-mars.html
The Cook and the Chef: Musk’s Secret Sauce
November 6, 2015 By Tim Urban
https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/11/the-cook-and-the-chef-musks-secret-sauce.html
Neuralink and the Brain’s Magical Future
April 20, 2017 By Tim Urban
https://waitbutwhy.com/2017/04/neuralink.html
The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence
January 22, 2015 By Tim Urban
https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html
The AI Revolution: Our Immortality or Extinction
January 27, 2015 By Tim Urban
https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-2.html
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신재생에너지에 대한 한 과학자의 책에 대해
David MacKay
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_J._C._MacKay
https://www.google.com/search?q=david+mackay
Sustainable Energy – without the hot air
https://www.withouthotair.com/
https://www.google.com/search?q=without+the+hot+air
Sustainable Energy - Without the Hot Air with David MacKay
72,632 views•Oct 25, 2010
Harvard University
1.2M subscribers
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GFosQtEqzSE
TEDxWarwick - David MacKay - How the Laws of Physics Constrain Our Sustainable Energy Options
106,711 views•Mar 22, 2012
TEDx Talks (25.5M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5bVbfWuq-Q
A reality check on renewables - David MacKay
887,993 views•Jun 26, 2013
TED-Ed
11.7M subscribers
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0W1ZZYIV8o
A reality check on renewables - David MacKay
TEDxWarwick | March 2012
https://www.ted.com/talks/david_mackay_a_reality_check_on_renewables
https://www.ted.com/speakers/david_mackay
How much land mass would renewables need to power a nation like the UK? An entire country's worth. In this pragmatic talk, David MacKay tours the basic mathematics that show worrying limitations on our sustainable energy options and explains why we should pursue them anyway.
David MacKay - final interview and tribute
19,702 views•Apr 27, 2016
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCyidsxIDtQ
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그 외 다양한 관련 기술 모음
Donald Sadoway: The missing link to renewable energy - Battery
707,972 views•Mar 26, 2012
TED (17.4M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sddb0Khx0yA
Why modern renewable power doesn’t need a breakthrough in energy storage | Amory Lovins
77,614 views•Feb 13, 2017
TED Archive (226K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oo8iEL6SqgI
Amory Lovins: A 40-year plan for energy
129,046 views•May 1, 2012
TED (17.4M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHOyfyGwpes
The future of energy?
491,284 views•Jul 30, 2012
Cambridge University (235K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gz_L6KuqvFI
Oil and gas companies are facing major technological disruption
923,985 views•Sep 20, 2016
The Economist (1.45M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ38SiVOD78
The Truth about Hydrogen
4,045,217 views•Jul 27, 2018
Real Engineering (2.55M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7MzFfuNOtY
Why Hydrogen Engines Are A Bad Idea
814,519 views•Dec 31, 2018
Engineering Explained (2.69M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Ajq46qHp0c
Why Gas Engines Are Far From Dead - Biggest EV Problems
1,786,990 views•Feb 6, 2020
Engineering Explained (2.69M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hatav_Rdnno
The Truth About Electric Cars Biggest Problem
675,328 views•Feb 13, 2020
Engineering Explained (2.69M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJL9MasBFvM
Why Teslas Are Bad At Towing (Today)
616,374 views•Dec 5, 2019
Engineering Explained (2.69M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S4W-P5aCWJs
Living With An Electric Car Changed My Mind
1,550,001 views•Dec 3, 2018
Engineering Explained (2.69M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qo4byxhI6kY
Bill Gates-Backed Carbon Capture Plant Does The Work Of 40 Million Trees
3,479,826 views•Jun 23, 2019
CNBC (1.66M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHX9pmQ6m_s
The Future Of Energy Storage Beyond Lithium Ion
1,527,008 views•Mar 14, 2020
CNBC (1.66M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EoTVtB-cSps
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전기자동차와 배터리에 대해
TRL - 기술: 전기자동차 & 배터리 기술 (엔지니어TV 외, 2020.05.)
https://trls.tistory.com/124
엔지니어TV (구독자 5.94만명)
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCnvCYORRLMYMQNhrlBILdCg
전기차 산업 전망 : 주도권 전쟁 (폭스바겐, 테슬라, 배터리 & IT, 화학 기업들)
조회수 160,276회•2019. 9. 23.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ml16-staAlE
1. 자동차 기업들의 움직임
- 폭스바겐 배터리 확보
- 글로벌 자동차 업체 합종연횡
2. 자동차 기업 미래 전략
- 폭스바겐, GM, 토요타, 다임러
3. GM 파업
4. 왜 배터리를 생산할려고 하나?
- 자동차 원가 구성, 부품 구매 전략
5. 배터리 기업 전략
- 삼성SDI
6. 자동차 수직계열화
- 엔진, 미션
7. 현대차 지배구조
8. 보령미션, ZF, 아이신
9. 엔진 : 토요타, FCA, GM
10. 보쉬 배터리 전략
11. 배터리 인수 합병은 어렵다
12. GM, 포드, 테슬라, CATL,
13.다음 경쟁자들
- 종합화학, 자율주행 플랫폼
14. BASF 배터리 전략
15. 롯데케미칼 배터리 전략
16. 자동차 산업 전망
17. 삼성전자 ODM 전망
18. ODM, EMS 기업 현황
19. 결론
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자율주행과 인공지능에 대해
TRL - 기술: 대규모 AI 모델, 마이크로소프트가 꿈꾸는 세계 (슈카월드, 2020.06.)
대규모 AI 모델, 마이크로소프트가 꿈꾸는 세계
조회수 152,758회•2020. 6. 12.
슈카월드
구독자 72.2만명
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HGzz7lpQxkE
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이후 정리할 추가 링크들
Milton Friedman Speaks - Myths That Conceal Reality
769,880 views•Jul 31, 2012
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xNc-xhH8kkk
Milton Friedman Speaks - Is Capitalism Humane?
508,954 views•Jul 31, 2012
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27Tf8RN3uiM
Milton Friedman - Redistribution of Wealth
1,084,182 views•Feb 13, 2010
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MRpEV2tmYz4
Responsibility to the Poor
1,106,019 views•Jul 19, 2009
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rls8H6MktrA
Milton Friedman on Hayek's "Road to Serfdom" 1994 Interview
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15idnfuyqXs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNYBIcrBQWY
Economist Paul Krugman on the Future of Capitalism and Democracy in America
84,646 views•Premiered Feb 25, 2020
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ruUc8yJSJA
Paul Krugman on Pandemic Economics and the Path to Recovery
23,270 views•Jun 3, 2020
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzxF5FMAaes
Thomas Piketty, Paul Krugman and Joseph Stiglitz: The Genius of Economics
305,140 views•Mar 6, 2015
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Si4iyyJDa7c
Thomas Piketty on Capitalism, Corbyn and why Zuckerberg is getting it wrong - BBC Newsnight
100,304 views•Dec 15, 2015
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X6frECZhxJA
Thomas Piketty's 'Capital' in 3 minutes - Newsnight
163,126 views•May 1, 2014
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HL-YUTFqtuI
Why Economists Disagree: Lord John Eatwell
313 views•Oct 9, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2oPSn2AIZs
Highlights: Why Economists Disagree: Lord John Eatwell
109 views•Oct 9, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bMQ1ECMxtMk
Milton Friedman - Why Economists Disagree
238,735 views•May 28, 2012
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kG8iXMaZTXE
Why Economists Disagree--Lessons from Astronomy.
Kingston University Becoming an Economist Lecture 1
9,232 views•Oct 5, 2015
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0o0In_4R1l4
How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
17,479,731 views•Sep 23, 2013
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0
Why Economists Are Always Wrong
46,399 views•Feb 24, 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o7BOdxyAKgo
Paul Krugman: Economics of Innovation, Automation, Safety Nets & Universal Basic Income | AI Podcast
54,689 views•Jan 21, 2020
Lex Fridman (425K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJQepiqSWvg
Garry Kasparov: Chess, Deep Blue, AI, and Putin | Artificial Intelligence (AI) Podcast
114,018 views•Oct 28, 2019
Lex Fridman (425K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8RVa0THWUWw
Why societies collapse | Jared Diamond
1,068,394 views•Oct 28, 2008
TED (17.4M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IESYMFtLIis
Yuval Noah Harari and Jared Diamond in conversation
133,945 views•Nov 8, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLXHnGVp7ZU
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The Big Picture of Linear Algebra
419,544 views•May 6, 2016
MIT OpenCourseWare (2.5M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggWYkes-n6E
1. The Geometry of Linear Equations
220,681 views•Sep 25, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7DzL2_Na80
Gilbert Strang: Linear Algebra, Deep Learning, Teaching, and MIT OpenCourseWare | AI Podcast
96,888 views•Nov 25, 2019
Lex Fridman (425K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lEZPfmGCEk0
What's a Tensor?
2,013,970 views•Nov 20, 2011
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f5liqUk0ZTw
MIT Introduction to Deep Learning | 6.S191
365,728 views•Feb 8, 2020
Alexander Amini (57.7K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njKP3FqW3Sk
Deep Learning State of the Art (2020) | MIT Deep Learning Series
605,199 views•Jan 11, 2020
Lex Fridman (425K subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VH1Lim8gL8
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How To Speak by Patrick Winston
1,139,901 views•Dec 21, 2019
MIT OpenCourseWare (2.5M subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Unzc731iCUY
Think Fast, Talk Smart: Communication Techniques
18,718,104 views•Dec 4, 2014
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAnw168huqA
How to Start a Speech
14,415,333 views•Mar 11, 2012
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w82a1FT5o88
Improve Your Speaking
1,800,274 views•Oct 16, 2011
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c8_BIamLESg
4 Ways to Stop Self-Sabotaging Your Success | Conor Neill
74,359 views•Sep 24, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_oYjnvXhpc
The 4 Destructive Self-Sabotage Mindsets:
- Distraction
- Emotional Impulsiveness
- Arrogance and sense of Entitlement
- Fixed Mindset
Learning how to learn | Barbara Oakley | TEDxOaklandUniversity
1,378,668 views•Aug 6, 2014
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O96fE1E-rf8
Barbara Oakley: "Learning How to Learn" | Talks at Google
918,135 views•Feb 22, 2015
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vd2dtkMINIw
Marty Lobdell - Study Less Study Smart
6,045,841 views•Jul 22, 2011
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlU-zDU6aQ0
Study Less Study Smart: A 6-Minute Summary of Marty Lobdell's Lecture - College Info Geek
3,197,406 views•Jan 30, 2015
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=23Xqu0jXlfs
Mastery: How to Learn Anything Fast | Nishant Kasibhatla
4,030,550 views•Aug 28, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVO8Wt_PCgE
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